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In the early 1980's, a political scientist named Allan Lichtman decided to try and figure out a way to predict the outcome of Presidential elections without having to rely on the polls. The Keys system has correctly forecast the results of all seven presidential elections Social Education 76(5), pp 233-235 ©2012 National Council for the Social Studies According to the conventional wisdom, America's continuing economic woes should make it difficult for Barack Obama to win election to a second term.
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